Gov. Andrew Cuomo needs to worry about winning his backyard if he squares off against New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie in the 2016 presidential race, according to a Siena Research Institute poll released on Monday.
Christie, a Republican, garnered support from 47 percent of New York voters and Cuomo, a Democrat, grabbed up 42 percent in the hypothetical match up. "Despite ‘home court advantage’ and a two-to-one Democratic enrollment advantage, Christie is besting Cuomo by five points," said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg in a statement. "Cuomo’s New York City lead is not enough to offset Christie’s comparable upstate and suburban leads, not to mention Christie’s 21-point lead among independent voters.”
"Christie, who is viewed favorably downstate and upstate, has a 57-31 percent favorability rating with Democrats and a 67-19 percent favorability rating with independents,” Greenberg said.
The complete breakdown of the poll is available below.
It's interesting to note how poorly Cuomo does among low-income voters, a traditionally Democratic base of support, which in this poll only vote for him by a 46 percent to 45 percent outcome.
If Christie squares offs against Hillary Clinton, though, he shouldn't count on winning New York, where Clinton served as a U.S. Senator. Only 40 percent of New York voters support Christie when he's pitted against Clinton, who brings home 56 percent of the state, according to the poll.
"Christie splits the suburban and upstate vote with Clinton, who dominates in New York City," Greenberg noted.
A major difference in the two hypothetical elections is the female voting bloc, which only gives a slight edge to Cuomo, but gives a big lift to Clinton. Female voters, who turn out in much larger numbers than males voters traditionally, appear to swing these two scenarios.
And while this poll wasn't encouraging for Cuomo's presidential prospects, it did show he'll likely cruise to reelection as governor.
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